Looking at mine, your pack is noticeably farther forward than mine. You would be surprised how much the weight on the back (bec) can play a part. also the lighter motor will make a huge difference. The BEC is closer to the main shaft where you have it than when it's up front with the ESC like mine. Also I think my ESC is mounted lower on the ESC tray than yours.
I have never like the holding the heli by the head method as you outlined for checking balance. Seems like motor coging and drive train resistance could throw that off. I also just use the fingers on the blade bolt method and if the tail doesn't drop more than a degree or two, you're good to go.
I don't think your pack is dangerously far forward. it is still supported by the CF tray, assuming it will reach the lock holes.
Here is the best picture of my 12s machine I could find here at work. I would love to go take a good one for you, but its in pieces right now. It had an unexpected ground impact